“In so many other high-stakes endeavors, forecasters are groping in the dark. They have no idea how good their forecasts could become. At best, they have vague hunches. More often than not, forecasts are made and then . . .…
Blog Archives
Book Report: Superforecasting
Tagged with: adaptability, adversarial collaboration, ambiguity, analysis, Archie Cochrane, Archilochus, Auftragstaktik, Bay of Pigs, belief persistence, Bill Gates, Black Box Thinking, Brier score, Bruce Schneier, Carol Dweck, cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, Cuban missile crisis, Dan Gardner, Daniel Kahneman, Dunning-Kruger effect, Einstein, Expert Political Judgment, expertise, feedback, foxes, George Box, Good Judgment Project, hedgehogs, Helmuth von Moltke, Herbert Simon, Ira Rutkow, John F. Kennedy, John Maynard Keynes, Karl Marx, Matthew Syed, Michael Flynn, Mike Tyson, outside-in, Paul Meehl, Philip E Tetlock, prediction, probability, prognostication, Rick and Morty, Robert McNamara, science, Smooth Jimmy Apollo, Superforecasting, tacit knowledge, The HEAD Game, The Improbability Principle, The Lean Startup, uncertainty, Vladimir Lenin
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Book Report: Data and Goliath
“Privacy is not a luxury that we can only afford in times of safety. Instead, it’s a value to be preserved. It’s essential for liberty, autonomy, and human dignity. We must understand that privacy is not something to be traded…
Tagged with: big data, Bruce Schneier, Charles Stross, Charlie Stross, CIA, Data and Goliath, Edward Snowden, Ghostery, human rights, Michael Hayden, NSA, privacy, security, Stewart Baker, weblining
Posted in Books
Posted in Books
| How Your Brand Can S… on The Third Age of Marketin… | |
| Book Review: Brainia… on Book Report: Brainiac | |
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 | Matt Duench on Awkward Meetings – Volume… |
| Book Report: Zone to… on Doomed from Inception: The Hor… |
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