Blog Archives

Book Report: A Higher Loyalty

Posted on June 6, 2018 by Lee Brooks — 1 Comment

“In that moment, something hit me: It’s just us. I always thought that in this place there would be somebody better, but it’s just this group of people – including me – trying to figure stuff out. I didn’t mean…

Tagged with: A Higher Loyalty, Barack Obama, Black Box Thinking, CIA, confirmation bias, decision-making, Donald Trump, FBI, fundamental attribution error, George W. Bush, George Washington, humulity, James Comey, judgment, lies, listening, Mark Twain, Martin Luther, Martin Luther King Jr., politics, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Rudy Giuliani, truth
Posted in Books, Leadership

The Ambiguity of…Numbers?

Posted on February 21, 2018 by Lee Brooks — 1 Comment

Researchers have shown people who use “50%” or “fifty-fifty” often do not mean it literally. They mean “I’m not sure” or “it’s uncertain” – or more simply “maybe.” Previously, I wrote about The Ambiguity of Language. Words are fuzzy, their…

Tagged with: ambiguity, analysis, Barack Obama, CIA, communication, Family Guy, forecasting, Mark Bowden, numbers, probabilities, rain, Superforecasting, uncertainty, weather, xkcd
Posted in Books, Everything, Marketing

The Ambiguity of Language

Posted on February 20, 2018 by Lee Brooks — 2 Comments

“Kent was floored. A phrase that looked informative was so vague as to be almost useless. Or perhaps it was worse than useless, as it had created dangerous misunderstandings.” – Superforecasting In the early part of Superforecasting, the authors talk about the…

Tagged with: analysis, Barack Obama, Bay of Pigs, CIA, communication, Frank Luntz, intelligence, John F. Kennedy, language, Sherman Kent, Superforecasting, uncertainty, words that work
Posted in Books, Leadership, Marketing

Book Report: The HEAD Game

Posted on February 15, 2018 by Lee Brooks — 7 Comments

“The key message of this book is about how to manage tough decisions and piles of data by applying a few consistent guiding principles. The short version is simple: there is a better way to sort through life’s questions than…

Tagged with: adversarial cooperation, analysis, analytics, charity proposition, CIA, critical thinking, Daryl Morey, decision advantage, decision-making, Deep Thinking, expertise, John Wooden, metrics, Philip Mudd, Superforecasting, The Black Swan, The HEAD Game, The Undoing Project
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Management

Book Report: Data and Goliath

Posted on January 21, 2017 by Lee Brooks — 3 Comments

“Privacy is not a luxury that we can only afford in times of safety. Instead, it’s a value to be preserved. It’s essential for liberty, autonomy, and human dignity. We must understand that privacy is not something to be traded…

Tagged with: big data, Bruce Schneier, Charles Stross, Charlie Stross, CIA, Data and Goliath, Edward Snowden, Ghostery, human rights, Michael Hayden, NSA, privacy, security, Stewart Baker, weblining
Posted in Books

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