“Society pays dearly for all the experiments it could have conducted but didn’t. Hundreds of thousands of people have died, millions of crimes have been committed, and billions of dollars have been wasted because people have bulled ahead on their…
Blog Archives
Book Report: Mindware
Tagged with: cognition, confirmation bias, cost-benefit analysis, Daniel Kahneman, Dialecticism, Drunk Tank Pink, effort heuristic, emoji, endowment effect, fundamental attribution error, HiPPOs, ideomotor mimicry, illusory correlation, logic, loss aversion, Matthew Syed, Mindware, mulling, multiple regression analysis, Nautilus, representativeness heuristic, Richard E. Nisbett, Scared Straight, scientific method, spreading activation, status quo bias, sunk cost fallacy, Superforecasting, The HEAD Game, Thinking Fast and Slow, Will Durant, words that work
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Book Report: Superforecasting
“In so many other high-stakes endeavors, forecasters are groping in the dark. They have no idea how good their forecasts could become. At best, they have vague hunches. More often than not, forecasts are made and then . . .…
Tagged with: adaptability, adversarial collaboration, ambiguity, analysis, Archie Cochrane, Archilochus, Auftragstaktik, Bay of Pigs, belief persistence, Bill Gates, Black Box Thinking, Brier score, Bruce Schneier, Carol Dweck, cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, Cuban missile crisis, Dan Gardner, Daniel Kahneman, Dunning-Kruger effect, Einstein, Expert Political Judgment, expertise, feedback, foxes, George Box, Good Judgment Project, hedgehogs, Helmuth von Moltke, Herbert Simon, Ira Rutkow, John F. Kennedy, John Maynard Keynes, Karl Marx, Matthew Syed, Michael Flynn, Mike Tyson, outside-in, Paul Meehl, Philip E Tetlock, prediction, probability, prognostication, Rick and Morty, Robert McNamara, science, Smooth Jimmy Apollo, Superforecasting, tacit knowledge, The HEAD Game, The Improbability Principle, The Lean Startup, uncertainty, Vladimir Lenin
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
The Scourge of Confirmation Bias
“Scientists are trained to be cautious. They know that no matter how tempting it is to anoint a pet hypothesis as The Truth, alternative explanations must get a hearing. And they must seriously consider the possibility that their initial hunch…
Tagged with: Black Box Thinking, chemtrails, confirmation bias, Dan Gardner, Eric Ries, falsification, hypothesis, Matthew Syed, numbers, Paul Schoemaker, Philip E Tetlock, Philip Mudd, scientific method, Superforecasting, The HEAD Game, The Lean Startup
Posted in Books, Leadership, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Leadership, Math and Science
Book Report: Black Box Thinking
“And this is invariably how progress happens. It is an interplay between the practical and the theoretical, between top-down and bottom-up, between creativity and discipline, between the small picture and the big picture. The crucial point – and the one…
Tagged with: Abraham Wald, Antifragile, Black Box Thinking, Bounce, Chesley Sullenberger, cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, Daniel Kahneman, denial, Eleanor Roosevelt, Eric Ries, Esther Duflo, failure, feedback, flow, Francis Bacon, James Dyson, Jim Collins, John Maynard Keynes, Karl Popper, marginal gains, Matthew Syed, Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi, mitigated language, narrative falacy, pre-mortem, Scared Straight, Success and Luck, The Lean Startup, Unilever, When Prophecy Fails
Posted in Books, Leadership, Management
Posted in Books, Leadership, Management
The Benefits of Repeatability
“If you don’t know what you are doing wrong, you can never know what you are doing right.” – Chen Xinhua Over the past few weeks, I’ve found myself talking at work about the benefits of repeatability and consistency. More…
Tagged with: Bounce, Chen Xinhua, consistency, creativity, feedback, just enough process, Matthew Syed, repeatability
Posted in Leadership, Management, Sports
Posted in Leadership, Management, Sports
Which voice do you listen to?
“I felt like I had to be perfect to justify my draft status. I became my own worst enemy. I constantly stressed for others’ approval and worried about what they were thinking. I felt like I couldn’t even make the…
Tagged with: Alex Smith, anxiety, Bounce, choices, fear of failure, Gary Mack, Kansas City Chiefs, Matthew Syed, Mind Gym, perfectionism
Posted in Books, Everything, Sports
Posted in Books, Everything, Sports
Getting comfortable with being uncomfortable
choke [verb] (in sports): To fail to perform at a crucial point of a game or contest as a result of nervousness In Part III (“Mind-Set for Success”) of Mind Gym, there’s a chapter called Breathe and Focus that discusses choking in the context of…
Tagged with: Bounce, choking, explicit memory, Gary Mack, Greg Norman, implicit memory, Lou Piniella, Matthew Syed, Mind Gym, performance curve, physiology, Sian Beilock, Steve Davis, The Sports Gene
Posted in Books, Everything, Math and Science, Sports
Posted in Books, Everything, Math and Science, Sports
Book Report: “Bounce”
“The talent theory of expertise is not merely flawed in theory; it is insidious in practice, robbing individuals and institutions of the motivation to change themselves and society. Even if we can’t bring ourselves to embrace the idea that expertise…
Tagged with: Anders Ericcson, Arsenal, Arsene Wenger, Bounce, Carol Dweck, David Beckham, Desmond Douglas, excellence, expertise, futsal, Greg Norman, Heidi Krieger, Laszlo Polgar, Malcolm Gladwell, Mark Schwarzer, Martin Sheen, Matthew Syed, Mia Hamm, Mozart, Nick Faldo, Outliers, placebo, purposeful practice, Roger Federer, self-development, Shaquille O'Neal, Sian Beilock, Steve Davis, talent, Tiger Woods, Venus Williams, Wayne Gretzky
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Sports
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Sports
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