“Predictive models are, increasingly, the tools we will be relying on to run our institutions, deploy our resources, and manage our lives. But … these models are constructed not just from data but from the choices we make about which…
“Predictive models are, increasingly, the tools we will be relying on to run our institutions, deploy our resources, and manage our lives. But … these models are constructed not just from data but from the choices we make about which…
“In all sorts of complex systems, this is the general trend: Increasing the coupling between the parts seems harmless enough at first. But then, abruptly, when the coupling crosses a critical value everything changes. The exact nature of the altered state…
“The Improbability Principle is not a single equation, such as Einstein’s famous E = mc², but a collection of strands which intertwine, braiding together and amplifying each other, to form a rope connecting events, incidents, and outcomes. The main strands…