“In so many other high-stakes endeavors, forecasters are groping in the dark. They have no idea how good their forecasts could become. At best, they have vague hunches. More often than not, forecasts are made and then . . .…
Blog Archives
Book Report: Superforecasting
Tagged with: adaptability, adversarial collaboration, ambiguity, analysis, Archie Cochrane, Archilochus, Auftragstaktik, Bay of Pigs, belief persistence, Bill Gates, Black Box Thinking, Brier score, Bruce Schneier, Carol Dweck, cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, Cuban missile crisis, Dan Gardner, Daniel Kahneman, Dunning-Kruger effect, Einstein, Expert Political Judgment, expertise, feedback, foxes, George Box, Good Judgment Project, hedgehogs, Helmuth von Moltke, Herbert Simon, Ira Rutkow, John F. Kennedy, John Maynard Keynes, Karl Marx, Matthew Syed, Michael Flynn, Mike Tyson, outside-in, Paul Meehl, Philip E Tetlock, prediction, probability, prognostication, Rick and Morty, Robert McNamara, science, Smooth Jimmy Apollo, Superforecasting, tacit knowledge, The HEAD Game, The Improbability Principle, The Lean Startup, uncertainty, Vladimir Lenin
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Everything, Leadership, Math and Science
Technical Communications: Documentation, UX, and Cohesive Brand Experiences
“You can have a very clean product, a very task-focused product, and people look at it and say ‘yeah, I get that, I know how to use it’, and they look at your docs and it’s a 400 page user…
Tagged with: brand personality, branding, Communitech, documentation, Kate Wilhelm, outside-in, Peter Morville, ROT, Technical Communications P2P, technical underpants, user experience
Posted in Marketing
Posted in Marketing
Strategic Marketing: Greasing the friction between sales and marketing
“At start-ups, sales and marketing are kind’ve the same thing – you have to find people who want your product and exchange money for that product. Start-ups are geared towards getting sales done, because you need revenue. Somewhere along the…
Tagged with: 4Ps, Bill Scott, Bryan Peters, Cam Davies, Chris Gerrie, collaboration, Communitech, fisticuffs, George Tsintzouras, Jeff McDowell, Miovision, outside-in, product management, Product Management P2P, roadmaps, Saj Jamal, Strategic Marketing P2P
Posted in Marketing
Posted in Marketing
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