“Predictive models are, increasingly, the tools we will be relying on to run our institutions, deploy our resources, and manage our lives. But … these models are constructed not just from data but from the choices we make about which…
Blog Archives
Book Report: Weapons of Math Destruction
Tagged with: bias, big data, Cathy O'Neil, Competitive and Market Intelligence, Deloitte, Duncan Stewart, exploitation, Facebook, false positives, inequality, machine learning, model interpretability, models, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, redlining, Smart People Should Build Things, Success and Luck, The Black Swan, Weapons of Math Destruction
Posted in Books, Everything, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Everything, Math and Science
The Problem of Prognostication
“By 1930, naval arms limitation treaties were in effect, the Great Depression was underway, and the defense planning standard said ‘no war for ten years.’ Nine years later World War II had begun.” – Lin Wells I’m sure we’ve all…
Tagged with: adaptability, agility, Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, George W. Bush, Lin Wells, Obliquity, prediction, Success and Luck, Superforecasting, The HEAD Game, uncertainty
Posted in Leadership
Posted in Leadership
Book Report: Deep Thinking
“Our attitude matters, and not because we can stop the march of technological prowess even if we wanted to, but because our perspective on disruption affects how well prepared for it we will be. There is plenty of room between…
Tagged with: AlphaGo, Amos Tversky, artificial intelligence, automation, Bill Gates, Bounce, chess, competition, Dan Ariely, Daniel Kahneman, Data and Goliath, Deep Thinking, Der Speigel, disruption, expertise, Garry Kasparov, innovation, Larry Smith, Larry Tesler, machine learning, Mikhail Botvinnik, Moravec's Paradox, performance, philosophy, pragmatism, privacy, problem solving, Success and Luck, technology, The Pentagon's Brain, Vasily Smyslov, Weapons of Math Destruction, Zlatan Ibrahimovic
Posted in Books, Everything, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Everything, Math and Science
Book Report: Black Box Thinking
“And this is invariably how progress happens. It is an interplay between the practical and the theoretical, between top-down and bottom-up, between creativity and discipline, between the small picture and the big picture. The crucial point – and the one…
Tagged with: Abraham Wald, Antifragile, Black Box Thinking, Bounce, Chesley Sullenberger, cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, Daniel Kahneman, denial, Eleanor Roosevelt, Eric Ries, Esther Duflo, failure, feedback, flow, Francis Bacon, James Dyson, Jim Collins, John Maynard Keynes, Karl Popper, marginal gains, Matthew Syed, Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi, mitigated language, narrative falacy, pre-mortem, Scared Straight, Success and Luck, The Lean Startup, Unilever, When Prophecy Fails
Posted in Books, Leadership, Management
Posted in Books, Leadership, Management
Book Report: Success and Luck
“If any of you go running or ride a bike, you’ll know that when you’re running of bicycling into the wind, you’re very aware of it. You just can’t wait till the course turns around and you’ve got the wind…
Tagged with: Amos Tversky, behavioural economics, Branko Milanovic, Charlie Munger, David Brooks, E.B. White, economics, Italo Calvino, luck, meritocracy, Napolean Bonaparte, Robert H. Frank, success, Success and Luck, taxes, The Improbability Principle, Tom Gilovich, wealth gap
Posted in Books, Leadership, Math and Science
Posted in Books, Leadership, Math and Science
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